Abrupt shift to hotter and drier climate over inner East Asia beyond the tipping point

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Unprecedented heatwave-drought concurrences in the past two decades have been reported over inner East Asia. Tree-ring-based reconstructions of heatwaves and soil moisture for the past 260 years reveal an abrupt shift to hotter and drier climate over this region. Enhanced land-atmosphere coupling, associated with persistent soil moisture deficit, appears to intensify surface warming and anticyclonic circulation anomalies, fueling heatwaves that exacerbate soil drying. Our analysis demonstrates that the magnitude of the warm and dry anomalies compounding in the recent two decades is unprecedented over the quarter of a millennium, and this trend clearly exceeds the natural variability range. The "hockey stick"-like change warns that the warming and drying concurrence is potentially irreversible beyond a tipping point in the East Asian climate system.
Publisher
AMER ASSOC ADVANCEMENT SCIENCE
Issue Date
2020-11
Language
English
Article Type
Article
Citation

SCIENCE, v.370, no.6520, pp.1095 - +

ISSN
0036-8075
DOI
10.1126/science.abb3368
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10203/286701
Appears in Collection
RIMS Journal Papers
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