(The) role of nuclear energy for Korean long-term energy supply strategy : application of energy demand-supply model = 한국의 장기 에너지공급 전략에서 원자력의 역할 : 에너지수급모형의 응용application of energy demand-supply model

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An energy demand and supply analysis is carried out to establish the future nuclear energy system of Korea in the situation of environmental restriction and resource depletion. Based on the useful energy intensity concept, a long-term energy demand forecasting model FIN2USE is developed to integrate with a supply model. The energy supply optimization model MESSAGE is improved to evaluate the role of nuclear energy system in Korean long-term energy supply strategy. Long-term demand for useful energy used as an exogeneous input of the energy supply model is derived from the trend of useful energy intensity by sectors and energy carriers. Supply-side optimization is performed for the overall energy system linked with the reactor and nuclear fuel cycle strategy. The limitation of fossil fuel resources and the $CO_2$ emission constraints are reflected as determinants of the future energy system. As a result of optimization of energy system using linear programming with the objective of total discounted system cost, the optimal energy system is obtained with detailed results on the nuclear sector for various scenarios. It is shown that the relative importance of nuclear energy would increase especially in the cases of $CO_2$ emission constraint. It is concluded that nuclear reactor strategy and fuel cycle strategy should be incorporated with national energy strategy and be changed according to environmental restriction and energy demand scenarios. It is shown that this modelling approach is suitable for a decision support system of nuclear energy policy.
Advisors
Lee, Byong-Whi이병휘
Description
한국과학기술원 : 원자력공학과,
Publisher
한국과학기술원
Issue Date
1995
Identifier
101878/325007 / 000885489
Language
eng
Description

학위논문(박사) - 한국과학기술원 : 원자력공학과, 1995.8, [ v, 123 p. ]

Keywords

Energy System Optimization; Nuclear Energy Policy; Energy Demand Forecasting; 에너지수요예측; 에너지계통최적화; 원자력에너지정책

URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10203/48846
Link
http://library.kaist.ac.kr/search/detail/view.do?bibCtrlNo=101878&flag=dissertation
Appears in Collection
NE-Theses_Ph.D.(박사논문)
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