DC Field | Value | Language |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.author | Madaniyazi, Lina | ko |
dc.contributor.author | Chung, Yeonseung | ko |
dc.contributor.author | Kim, Yoonhee | ko |
dc.contributor.author | Tobias, Aurelio | ko |
dc.contributor.author | Ng, Chris Fook Sheng | ko |
dc.contributor.author | Seposo, Xerxes | ko |
dc.contributor.author | Guo, Yuming | ko |
dc.contributor.author | Honda, Yasushi | ko |
dc.contributor.author | Gasparrini, Antonio | ko |
dc.contributor.author | Armstrong, Ben | ko |
dc.contributor.author | Hashizume, Masahiro | ko |
dc.date.accessioned | 2021-07-13T00:30:04Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2021-07-13T00:30:04Z | - |
dc.date.created | 2021-07-12 | - |
dc.date.created | 2021-07-12 | - |
dc.date.created | 2021-07-12 | - |
dc.date.created | 2021-07-12 | - |
dc.date.issued | 2021-07 | - |
dc.identifier.citation | ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH AND PREVENTIVE MEDICINE, v.26, no.69, pp.1 - 9 | - |
dc.identifier.issn | 1342-078X | - |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10203/286539 | - |
dc.description.abstract | Background Ambient temperature may contribute to seasonality of mortality; in particular, a warming climate is likely to influence the seasonality of mortality. However, few studies have investigated seasonality of mortality under a warming climate. Methods Daily mean temperature, daily counts for all-cause, circulatory, and respiratory mortality, and annual data on prefecture-specific characteristics were collected for 47 prefectures in Japan between 1972 and 2015. A quasi-Poisson regression model was used to assess the seasonal variation of mortality with a focus on its amplitude, which was quantified as the ratio of mortality estimates between the peak and trough days (peak-to-trough ratio (PTR)). We quantified the contribution of temperature to seasonality by comparing PTR before and after temperature adjustment. Associations between annual mean temperature and annual estimates of the temperature-unadjusted PTR were examined using multilevel multivariate meta-regression models controlling for prefecture-specific characteristics. Results The temperature-unadjusted PTRs for all-cause, circulatory, and respiratory mortality were 1.28 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.27–1.30), 1.53 (95% CI: 1.50–1.55), and 1.46 (95% CI: 1.44–1.48), respectively; adjusting for temperature reduced these PTRs to 1.08 (95% CI: 1.08–1.10), 1.10 (95% CI: 1.08–1.11), and 1.35 (95% CI: 1.32–1.39), respectively. During the period of rising temperature (1.3 °C on average), decreases in the temperature-unadjusted PTRs were observed for all mortality causes except circulatory mortality. For each 1 °C increase in annual mean temperature, the temperature-unadjusted PTR for all-cause, circulatory, and respiratory mortality decreased by 0.98% (95% CI: 0.54–1.42), 1.39% (95% CI: 0.82–1.97), and 0.13% (95% CI: − 1.24 to 1.48), respectively. Conclusion Seasonality of mortality is driven partly by temperature, and its amplitude may be decreasing under a warming climate. | - |
dc.language | English | - |
dc.publisher | SPRINGER | - |
dc.title | Seasonality of mortality under a changing climate: a time-series analysis of mortality in Japan between 1972 and 2015 | - |
dc.type | Article | - |
dc.identifier.wosid | 000671750300001 | - |
dc.identifier.scopusid | 2-s2.0-85110817657 | - |
dc.type.rims | ART | - |
dc.citation.volume | 26 | - |
dc.citation.issue | 69 | - |
dc.citation.beginningpage | 1 | - |
dc.citation.endingpage | 9 | - |
dc.citation.publicationname | ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH AND PREVENTIVE MEDICINE | - |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1186/s12199-021-00992-8 | - |
dc.contributor.localauthor | Chung, Yeonseung | - |
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthor | Madaniyazi, Lina | - |
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthor | Kim, Yoonhee | - |
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthor | Tobias, Aurelio | - |
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthor | Ng, Chris Fook Sheng | - |
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthor | Seposo, Xerxes | - |
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthor | Guo, Yuming | - |
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthor | Honda, Yasushi | - |
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthor | Gasparrini, Antonio | - |
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthor | Armstrong, Ben | - |
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthor | Hashizume, Masahiro | - |
dc.description.isOpenAccess | Y | - |
dc.type.journalArticle | Article | - |
dc.subject.keywordAuthor | Seasonality | - |
dc.subject.keywordAuthor | Mortality | - |
dc.subject.keywordAuthor | Temperature | - |
dc.subject.keywordAuthor | Climate change | - |
dc.subject.keywordPlus | WINTER MORTALITY | - |
dc.subject.keywordPlus | TEMPERATURE | - |
dc.subject.keywordPlus | POPULATION | - |
dc.subject.keywordPlus | DEATHS | - |
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