Applying foresight to policy agenda-setting: A successful case in South Korea

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There is still a persistent gap between 'knowing' the future and implementing it in policymaking. South Korea implemented a project in 2019 to proactively manage future conflicts. The project was initiated to provide foresight-policymaking integration by elevating future conflict issues to ongoing government institutional agendas. Utilizing an exploratory, single-project case based on a field-study method, this article presents observations of the project's applied approaches in foresight-policy integration along with corresponding implications. The project integrated agenda-setting strategies such as actor-based strategies (inside-access, mobilization, and outside initiation models), an issue-attention strategy, and packaging strategies (analogous to previous agendas and the utilization of symbols), as well as two-way translation methods of foresight (forecasting and backcasting). There are two underlying reasons for this integration being successful, namely the nature of agenda-setting being conducive to foresight processes and the project's key design variables (forward-looking leadership and the designated group's active representation of future generations). A future conflict agenda-setting project can serve as a great entry point through which to increase the anticipatory knowledge and capacity of the actors involved. To internalize these, however, new anticipatory knowledgeand capacity-based governance should be introduced through the continued training and education of both government officials and the public.
Publisher
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
Issue Date
2021-03
Language
English
Article Type
Article
Citation

FUTURES, v.127

ISSN
0016-3287
DOI
10.1016/j.futures.2021.102701
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10203/282288
Appears in Collection
RIMS Journal Papers
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