Real estate soars and financial crises: Recent stories

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This paper studies the contribution of real estate bubble to a financial crisis. First,we document symptoms of a real estate bubble along with a slowdown of the real economy and find indicators of an imminent crash of the stockmarket, triggering a sense of déjà vu fromthe 2008 crisis. However, we show that the relationship between real estate and financialmarkets has changed since the crisis. The empirical analyses provide evidence that the monetary policy has recovered its control over mortgage rates, which had been lost prior to the global financial crisis, and that the real estate market does not have a Granger causality relationship with the stock market any more. Findings suggest that an imminent financial market crash is not likely to be catalyzed by a real estate bubble.
Publisher
MDPI
Issue Date
2018-12
Language
English
Article Type
Article
Citation

Sustainability, v.10, no.12, pp.4559

ISSN
2071-1050
DOI
10.3390/su10124559
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10203/250139
Appears in Collection
RIMS Journal Papers
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