PREDICTION OF SEVERE ACCIDENT OCCURRENCE TIME USING SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINES

If a transient occurs in a nuclear power plant (NPP), operators will try to protect the NPP by estimating the kind of abnormality and mitigating it based on recommended procedures. Similarly, operators take actions based on severe accident management guidelines when there is the possibility of a severe accident occurrence in an NPP. In any such situation, information about the occurrence time of severe accident-related events can be very important to operators to set up severe accident management strategies. Therefore, support systems that can quickly provide this kind of information will be very useful when operators try to manage severe accidents. In this research, the occurrence times of several events that could happen during a severe accident were predicted using support vector machines with short time variations of plant status variables inputs. For the preliminary step, the break location and size of a loss of coolant accident (LOCA) were identified. Training and testing data sets were obtained using the MAAP5 code. The results show that the proposed algorithm can correctly classify the break location of the LOCA and can estimate the break size of the LOCA very accurately. In addition, the occurrence times of severe accident major events were predicted under various severe accident paths, with reasonable error. With these results, it is expected that it will be possible to apply the proposed algorithm to real NPPs because the algorithm uses only the early phase data after the reactor SCRAM, which can be obtained accurately for accident simulations.
Publisher
KOREAN NUCLEAR SOC
Issue Date
2015-02
Language
ENG
Keywords

DIAGNOSTICS; REGRESSION

Citation

NUCLEAR ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY, v.47, no.1, pp.74 - 84

ISSN
1738-5733
DOI
10.1016/j.net.2014.10.001
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10203/202910
Appears in Collection
NE-Journal Papers(저널논문)
Files in This Item
There are no files associated with this item.
  • Hit : 157
  • Download : 0
  • Cited 0 times in thomson ci
This item is cited by other documents in WoS
⊙ Detail Information in WoSⓡClick to seewebofscience_button
⊙ Cited 2 items in WoSClick to see citing articles inrecords_button

qr_code

  • mendeley

    citeulike


rss_1.0 rss_2.0 atom_1.0